Probable Cause

The authority's formal statement of what caused the accident. The exact wording matters, and the archive quotes it rather than paraphrasing it.

Different authorities use different formulations. The US NTSB states a "probable cause" with contributing factors; many European and ICAO-aligned authorities list "causes" and "contributing factors" separately. Neither is a legal finding of fault.

Because the wording is the product of a long analytical process, small paraphrases change the meaning — "the crew failed to" is a different claim from "the crew were not provided with". Case files attribute the statement to the authority that reached it.

Related terms

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